Could the Lib Dems win even fewer seats next year?

I was asked by The National yesterday for an opinion on how many seats the Liberal Democrats are likely to win at the Holyrood election next year.  I don't think what I said has made it into the paper, so I thought I'd briefly explore the point here, because it's an intriguing one.  The Poll of Polls last weekend had the party on exactly 6% on both ballots - meaning that in comparison to...

scotgoespop.blogspot.com/...seats.html
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